July 30, 2025
Lugano & Locarno (TI) are the hallmarks of a canton that has offered high auction activity compared to the rest of Switzerland for years – with a Mediterranean climate, intact tourist demand, and a diverse range of property types from compact condominiums to villas with lake views. For investors, this means: predictable deal flow, significant seasonality, and a mix of properties that allows various strategies – from cash flow-oriented purchases to targeted value-add.
Nationwide, the number of forced auctions remained robust over a four-year comparison: 2021: 854, 2022: 622, 2023: 644, 2024: 610. The total volume in 2024 was around 670.9 million CHF, significantly higher than in 2023 (≈560.7 million CHF).
The canton of Ticino (TI) remains clearly ahead in comparison to other regions: in 2024, 114 appointments were registered (rate 32.6 per 100,000 inhabitants), in 2023 there were 135 (38.2), in 2022 146 (41.3) and in 2021 154 (77.6).
Year | CH: Number | CH: Volume | TI: Number | TI: per 100,000 inhabitants | Seasonality (CH) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 610 | ≈ 670.9 million CHF | 114 | 32.6 | Peaks: June (75), October (62); summer quiet. |
2023 | 644 | ≈ 560.7 million CHF | 135 | 38.2 | Peaks: March (79), June (79); July/August quieter. |
2022 | 622 | ≈ 744.2 million CHF | 146 | 41.3 | Autumn lively; holiday period weak. |
2021 | 854 | ≈ 904.3 million CHF | 154 | 77.6 | Peaks: May/June; Q2 strongest. |
Also in 2024, Vaud (VD), Valais (VS) and Bern (BE) are high on the rankings – yet TI leads both absolutely and per capita. Urban cantons such as Zurich (ZH) and Geneva (GE) rank lower per capita due to large populations. Notably, there are also increased per capita values in Jura (JU) and Glarus (GL).
The supply structure follows the Swiss pattern: Residential houses and condominiums account for about 75 % of all proceedings in 2024 (2023: ≈68 %). For buyers around Lugano/Locarno (TI), this means the best data availability (comparables, rents) and the largest liquidity base.
Regarding price levels, the cantonal average values show the range: In TI, condominiums had an average of around 797 K CHF in 2023, and residential houses had an average of around 1,073 K CHF; in 2022, condominiums averaged around 902 K CHF, and residential houses around 821 K CHF. In the Swiss premium segment, villas achieved an average of 5.1 M CHF (2023) and 3.92 M CHF (2024).
“The market value is a guideline, not the target price. Those who consistently contrast return value and CAPEX offer during quiet summer months with a cool head.”
// Backward calculation (simplified pattern for lakeview-condo)
Annual net rent = (Rent_peak * Weeks_peak) + (Rent_off * Weeks_off) - Vacancy
Return value = Annual net rent / Discount rate
CAPEX = Envelope + Technique + Interior construction + Additional costs
Safety margin = 10%–20% (micro-location, occupancy risk)
Max bid = min(Return value, Market value) - CAPEX - Safety margin
The scheduling follows a clear pattern: In 2024, June and October were strong, while July/August were significantly calmer; in 2023, March and June stood out. Those who take advantage of the summer often face less competition – important in sought-after lake locations.
Indicator | Ticino (TI) | Switzerland | Interpretation |
---|---|---|---|
Number of forced auctions 2024 | 114 | 610 | Constant deal flow in the southern canton – ideal for regular bidding. |
Rate per 100,000 inhabitants (2024) | 32.6 | – | Leading per capita; competition is distributed. |
Avg. Condo (2023) | ≈ 0.797 million CHF | – | Good entry-level properties with lake access possible. |
Avg. Residential house (2023) | ≈ 1.073 million CHF | – | Price corridor for classic single-/two-family homes. |
Avg. Condo (2022) | ≈ 0.902 million CHF | – | Previous year's value as reference for plausibility. |
Avg. Villa CH (2024 / 2023) | – | 3.92 / 5.10 million CHF | Premium with a setback in 2024 – selective opportunities. |
Peaks (CH appointments) | June/October (2024), March/June (2023) | – | Summer dip as bidding window. |
Alongside TI, Vaud (VD) and Valais (VS) are regularly active. Per capita, 2024 Jura (JU) stands out; Glarus (GL) also shows increased values. Zurich (ZH) and Geneva (GE) rank lower per capita but remain absolutely relevant. For investors in Lugano/Locarno, this means: lake locations with predictable deal flow – and enough market breadth for smart selection.
During quiet summer months, competitive pressure often decreases. Peaks before/after the holiday period require disciplined upper limits.
Condos with practical layouts and parking; for houses, clear CAPEX plans and usage scenarios (holding/partial rental/refit).
Average values are plausibility anchors. The maximum bid derives from return value minus CAPEX and safety margin – never from market value alone.
Lugano & Locarno (TI) combine lakefront properties, stable demand, and a leading auction market throughout the canton. With thorough due diligence, leveraging seasonality, and a strict return value logic, properties with views can be transformed into viable, long-term investments – all without haste in the bidding room.
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